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Mpiyakhe Dhlamini's avatar

I don't think the ANC controls much of anything right now, especially after 2024. They've weakened the security services, they've lost or govern in coalition our most important cities.

I think the NDR hypothesis has been conclusively defeated, the ANC are not ideologues, they're opportunistic kleptocrats. If I remember correctly, everyone who believed the NDR hypothesis predicted a coalition with the EFF and MK. This would give the ideologically-driven ANC a near 2/3 majority, and the 2/3 could be achieved with adding parties like PAC, ATM and PA.

Yet the ANC chose the DA, not without some cost. A large part of why the SACP, the party driving the NDR, is leaving is because the ANC chose a coalition with the DA, FF+ and IFP, they see this as a betrayal of the NDR.

The other major reason why the SACP is leaving are Ramaphosa's reforms, which are the most radical since GEAR. They may not be enough, but the SACP views them as an attempt to sell off state owned companies and assets.

Just last week Ramaphosa and the PAC land reform minister were handing out title deeds and a new policy of converting leasehold to title was announce, from the legacy land reform projects.

All indications are the ANC is no more power hungry than any political party and is simply trying to hold on to.power to maintain access for looting. Even with welfare they don't have much control over the population.

Finally, which alternatives exist? Every ANC policy in government is currently cosigned by the DA, FF+, IFP. I guess we could vote ACDP. It seems to be the last sane option.

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